Whats Next For Seattle Condos?

IMG00124 20100131 1448 300x225 Whats Next For Seattle Condos?

I’m sitting here at Seatte Heights during the advertised Belltown Progressive Condo Tour.  There have been a number of people through thus far and it makes me wonder what the rest of the year will look like for Seattle condos.

It is not a surprise that for most owners, it has been a tough few years.  Price declines, auctions and the overall uncertainty has been the proverbial elephant in the room.  With that being said, there are more showings, much more activity and a measurable amount of optimism making its way back to the psyche of both buyers and sellers.

How do you feel about the market?  What predictions would you make?  I’m anxious to hear your feedback on where you think our market is headed.

A few pics from the unit #1403:

IMG00125 20100131 1448 300x225 Whats Next For Seattle Condos?IMG00126 20100131 1449 300x225 Whats Next For Seattle Condos?

[mappress]

Belltown Progressive Open Tomorrow

open house  300x176 Belltown Progressive Open Tomorrow

Hot off the press is the map of the enormous Belltown Progressive Open tomorrow from 1-4pm.  If you haven’t heard about it yet, it will feature over 45 of Belltown’s active condominium inventory.  (Kudos to Carrie Debuys for all the work getting it organized)

Their are 17 projects featured, including :

Mosler Lofts
Gallery
Bay Vista
Concord
Ellington
Avenue One
81 Vine
The Vine
Seattle Heights
Harbour Heights
Arbor Place
The Parc
Belltown Court
Austin Bell
The Pomeroy
Royal Crest
Cristalla

belltown tour january 31

The units featured will include prices as low as $199,900 and as high as $1,095,000.

In full disclosure, I will have two of my own listings open as well:

The Pomeroy that was just reduced to $299,900 and a unit that I expect to sell quickly at Seattle Heights.  The owner purchased the unit for over $645,000 dollars and now is selling the unit at $499,950!   Close to $150,000 off the 2006 purchase.  If you feel like just stopping by to say hello; please do!

[mappress]

Seattle Area Developers Need To Lower Prices-NOW

Lower.prices.now  300x292 Seattle Area Developers Need To Lower Prices NOW

It is time to lower prices for all high rise condominium sales between Seattle and Bellevue.  The projects that have done it are enjoying much success.  I don’t need to point out specific names, because as consumers we are well aware of who it is and how it has affected their sales.  I like being transparent and will continue too, but at the same time both builders and the consumers deserve a fair shake.  It would be easy to throw a few projects under the bus, but that does not help the issue.  For now, I’ll treat this as a public service announcement and hope that the Seattle area developers listen to my “opinion” on the market.

For any of the developers who may happen to read this, I don’t mean to make this sound too simple.  I know how much work and effort you have put into your project.  Unfortunately, the consumer will tell you it is not their fault that when you started your project you were building at a much different time. Thus, pricing your units at higher price then what is should be today.  The expectation has changed.  From what I can tell this has been the approach of many of your projects thus far:

  1. In some cases you have fired the sales team and went “in-house” (in a few cases multiple times)
  2. You lower prices moderately for months at time making little to no impact on the consumer confidence in your product
  3. You contact your contracted owners, but not real solutions on lowering prices or renegotiating their terms.
  4. You have avoided public announcements of potential or scheduled price reductions because……….?

Its time to change your approach.  Buyers now are more savvy then they have ever been.  In some cases, they know as much or more about pricing then your sales team does.  This also includes your competition.  I don’t mean to say that viciously either.  It is just a common practice now for many of us to read, review and even pick out a unit before we visit your site.  In most cases there are enough educated options on pricing to help the consumer put a value on the project as well. Don’t run from this change; embrace it.

As I mentioned before, I refuse to throw any project directly under the bus.  With that being said, I feel I can share a story about an anonymous project that I have been incredibly disappointed with.  Back in December, I contacted this project to get an update on sales.  I had heard that a few Seattle projects were starting to see an uptick in numbers of units under contract and I simply wanted to touch base with the sales team and get an update.  To make a long story short, I was ignored by the sales staff.  Not once, or twice but I made 4-5 points of contact and I was given nothing but a cold shoulder.  I made it clear that my intentions were to update “YOU” (the readers and consumers) and that UCS or myself did not stand to benefit.  At any rate, I was brutally ignored and left disappointed.  Due to the enormous size of this project and the importance of having a qualified and dedicated sales staff, I felt compelled to call the developer myself; which I did.  I shared with him my constructive criticism.  He thanked me, told me he would get back to me. Well, guess what……..no phone call, e-mail or point of contact.  Unbelievable.

Somewhere in the last two years, local developers have lost their touch.  To be fair, there are very few good ones and I think I have complemented their projects many times over the last few months.  I will most likely give them more accolades and praise as time goes on.  However this post was not about them.  It was meant to be “another” wake up call to all developers that are still hanging on to what they think will sell units.  Here is what I would like to make clear:

  1. Evaluate your sales team.  (make sure they REALLY represent whats best for the project)
  2. Adapt to Social Media.  If you haven’t figured that out yet, fire your marketing group
  3. Be loyal to your contracted owners.  They are all you have at this point
  4. Be aware that blogging will exist whether you like it or not.  If you are more transparent, you might look better to the public
  5. Talk to your lender and have them meet with me or someone else in this market that can really tell you what buyers expect to pay.
  6. Let lenders give you feedback on pricing.  We all know they are breathing down your neck.  Open your book of business and offer to make changes.
  7. Reap the rewards.

I don’t boast to know it all, but I do know a little about the consumer, marketing and pricing.  If you do what I’ve highlighted and you make big internal changes, I think you’ll be happier at the end of 2010 then you were in before you read this.  To your success.

Veer Lofts

Veer.exterior 300x225 Veer Lofts

Located in South Lake Union, Veer Lofts built in 2008 consists of 99 units in 3 different unit layouts.  Developed by Vulcan Real Estate, Veer offers units of 624 to 1067 square feet.  This 6 story building designed by Johnson Architects and constructed by Walsh Construction is LEED Certified with drought tolerant landscaping, water conserving fixtures, recycled building materials and natural day lighting with glass walls.

Other considerations:  Cemente/Concrete/Metal/Vinyl Siding, Pets are subject to restrictions, neighboring projects include Enso and 2200 Westlake

PICTURES
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Veer 291x300 Veer Lofts Veer.loft .interior 300x214 Veer Lofts

Veer.lofts .deck  300x200 Veer Lofts veerlofts interior 300x182 Veer Lofts

Jeff Active Listings Veer Lofts Jeff Sold Listings Veer Lofts Schedule a Tour Veer Lofts

UCS PROJECT GRADE
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Address: 401 9th Ave North, Seattle 98109
Year Built: 2008
Bedrooms: 1 and 2
Bathrooms: 1–2
Total Units: 99
Amenities: Professional landscaping, Elevator, Lobby entrance, Bocce Ball Court, Rooftop terrace, Retail
My Grade:
Location: B
Amenities: B
Price: B
Luxury: B
Walk-ability: A  Google Walkscore
Unit Decor: B

Neighborhood Business:

13 Coins
Cornish College
Gordon Woodside/John Braseth
Seattle Piano Gallery
Seattle Times
Seattle Wine Storage
Slo Joe’s Bigtime Backyard BBQ
Subway
Whole Foods Market

WALKSCORE
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Don’t Believe What You Read

Media 300x277 Dont Believe What You Read

Don’t Panic:

The media has always had their way with the American public.  Don’t get me wrong, I think its easy to get caught up in the “sensationalism” that is our US media. However, you should not always believe what you hear.  Here is a great example:

I received numerous calls from clients yesterday in regards to the existing home sales number.  Of course at face value it seemed like a devastating decline.  The sales of existing inventory fell 16.7 percent.

The “16.7%” drop was all over the news (MSNBC, Bloomberg, CNN Money).  What the media didn’t care to highlight in their reports is that the year over year number was still up 15% from 2008!  The biggest reason it dropped drastically was due to the home buyers tax credit.

Here is the appropriate way it should be reported:

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – fell 16.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 5.45 million units in December from 6.54 million in November, but remain 15.0 percent above the 4.74 million-unit level in December 2008.

The lesson to be learned is that we can’t always “buy in” to what is reported.  For me personally, I have more confidence in our market now, then I’ve had in 3 years.  I think the numbers will reflect more optimism as we move forward.  Until then, wear you reading glasses, so you don’t miss the fine print!

Escala Condos-Time For Change

Escala Seattle 251x300 Escala Condos Time For Change

Escala is once again the talk of the town.  Jim Stroupe broke a story this week that has been developing for quite some time.  I commend he and his team for getting the details out in the public.  In fact, earlier this week, behind closed doors the details of the change were still “off” the record. Regardless of when the change was announced,  I think it is fair to say that everyone was expecting news like this.  It shouldn’t have been a surprise.

A few years ago, I was working in Belltown and was surrounded by the Seattle condo buzz.  I must say that I was caught up in the grandiose plan and much anticipated pre-sale process of Escala.  Many of our partners and colleagues were in large part a contributor to the project.  They added their time and opinions towards pricing, marketing, staffing and selling.  There was a vision that was easy to believe in.  Escala was meant to be bigger than life.  In my opinion the Architects Paul ThorykMulvannyG2, and the developer John Midby of Lexus Companies were creating something that had never been done before. There was truth to that, but now it seems dead wrong.  In fact, from the beginning, although the developer didn’t notice it,  many of Seattle’s condo buyers were scratching their heads.

Dating back to the grand opening of the design center, there were questions about the design and how it would fit in the traditional Seattle market.   There has always been enthusiasm for the project, but over time Escala seemed like a big onion, with layers unfolding and adding to the uncertainty, lack of transparency and un-acceptable communication.  No one will forget the infamous price increases and multiple attempts to “set the direction” of project artificially.

To sum it all up, the reason the model is broken is because of the price, communication, commitment to the current buyers and a lack of transparency to the buying community.  Unfortunately,  the original vision of the project was created at a very different time then when it was delivered today.  With that, comes strict lending guidelines and a counter culture to excessive spending on real estate.  So, the change in project is from “Lender” pressure.  The lending institution that is funding its lack of success must force the change that the project needs.  No one will really know how well this will be received.  My hope is that they will find a way to keep Club Cielo and lower prices and hoa dues by 30%.

One final point I need to make is that I commend Escala on their efforts.  I don’t agree with the way they have handled the process but  I can’t fault someone for taking a chance to build something great.  I firmly believe that without risk, one can’t find reward.  Let’s be honest, if a project fails it gives us something to talk about, but it doesn’t do us any good as participants and owners in our great city.

Feel free to share feedback at info@urbanimg.com

[mappress]

Let’s Chat

contact us Lets Chat

I’ve been hard at work over the last few months trying to make UCS more user friendly.  Many of you have graciously provided feedback on the design, writing and overall presentation of the site.  I would encourage all of you to continue providing feedback whether it is good or bad.  I appreciate and value your time, efforts and opinions on the blog.

In light of making the site visits a better experience for all, I have now added a live chat feature on the right sidebar of the site.  I know some of you won’t be inclined to use it; that’s ok.  A few of you may have questions, feedback or potentially would just like to say hello.  I would welcome that and will look forward to those future conversations.  Just so that you are aware, this feature is tied to G-chat (google’s chat feature).  Therefore, when I am at home on our MacBook, it will appear that I am away.  If you click the icon when I’m “logged off” feel free to leave an e-mail or a quick note and I will respond accordingly.  I hope everyone is enjoying their weekend.  Thanks for the continued support.

A Seattle City Sample of Seven and Change-2010

rsz a city sample of seven and change 300x218 A Seattle City Sample of Seven and Change 2010

A few months back I posted the first set of “A City Sample of Seven and Change“.  I thought it would be interesting to see what has changed in the last 9-10 months.  I think you will find it as interesting as I did.

Take a look at the updated list below.  You’ll see what $700,000 and change will get you in the city.  Similar to last time, the sample is within the price range of $700,000 to $800,000.  The lists consists of only 2 bedroom condos and they range geographically, but all of them are in the “downtown Seattle vicinity”.

Belltown  $738,000 2607 Western Ave 1001
Belltown  $795,000 81 Vine St 300
Belltown  $799,990 2621 2nd Ave 1105
SLU         $715,000 820 Blanchard St 1706
SLU         $775,000 900 Lenora St W1101
Denny      $775,000 737 Olive Way 1905
DT           $749,000 98 Union St 1106

A lot of things can happen in 10 months.   As we compare this sample to the last, although it may be stating the obvious, there has been an overall recognition of the market conditions.  In my opinion, the 50-60% decrease in inventory in this price point is reflective of the following:

  • cancellations
  • extended “pending” sales due to short sales
  • A few solds
  • units being rented out
  • foreclosures
  • owners waiting until 2010
  • large price adjustments

I would be curious to get your opinion as well.   Are we seeing better inventory at more affordable pricing?

[mappress]

Enso Condominiums

Enso Condos Penthouse Enso Condominiums

Enso Condominiums is located in the dynamic South Lake Union neighborhood where changes are happening overnight.

Built in 2009 in the Vulcan neighborhood  of dreams, Enso is comprised of 19 stories offering 135 condos and penthouses.  It’s exterior is both creative and attractive due to the transparent look and feel.  It was designed to bring in light and capture the incredible views including the stunning Seattle skyline, Cascade and Olympic mountains, Lake Union, Puget Sound and SLU views.  Conveniently located on the South Lake Union Transit Line and across the street from 2200 Westlake, Enso’s location is second to none .  Residents can easily walk to popular shops, restaurants, cafes, recreation, and entertainment venues.   Enso offers a variety of amenities as well, including guest suites, dining and entertainment areas, lounging and sunning areas, a community room, plasma TV area, fitness facility, large roof deck and much more.

Enso interiors feature stainless steel Bosch appliances, bamboo/palm wood flooring, double-sided fireplace, spa-like bathrooms, granite/marble countertops and floor-to-ceiling windows.  Designed by Callison Architects and Interior Designers the units also offer German cabinetry by Eggersmann.  Enso is LEED certified and has just recently adjusted prices on their remaining units reflective of current market conditions.

Enso.interior 300x225 Enso Condominiums enso fitness Enso Condominiums enso exterior Enso Condominiums Enso.interior 150x150 Enso Condominiums Enso Condos 1902 150x150 Enso Condominiums

Enso Condos 05 150x150 Enso Condominiums Enso Condos 02 Bath 150x150 Enso Condominiums Enso Condos 10 150x150 Enso Condominiums Enso.View  150x150 Enso Condominiums Enso Condos Penthouse View 150x150 Enso Condominiums

[mappress]

Address: 820 Blanchard St., Seattle, WA 98121
Year Built: 2009
Bedrooms: Studio, 1, 2, Penthouses
Bathrooms: 1–2
Total Units: 135
Amenities: 24 hour concierge, rooftop deck, owners lounge, exercise facility, guest suite, plasma room, sunning decks
My Grade:
Location: A
Amenities: A
Price: B
Luxury: B
Walk-ability: A  Google Walkscore
Unit Decor: B+

 

Walkscore

Lack of Sleep, Lots of Inspiration

Well, I didn’t sleep much last night and it doesn’t surprise me.  I have an internal clock that wakes me up around the same time everyday.  This morning it just went off a little sooner icon smile Lack of Sleep, Lots of Inspiration .

I woke up with the inspiration to add another post to the UCS List.  I created the UCS List (look at the sub-menu furthest to the right) to act as a box of tools.  Its purpose is to help you when you are buying, selling or renting a condo.  I hope you find it useful and I will continue to make it a priority. Look for a post soon highlighting the process of having a unit under contract.

Buying A Condo Foreclosure

Condo.Foreclosure Buying A Condo Foreclosure

In a strategic partnership with Vestus.com, UrbanCondoSpaces can now provide access to all Seattle and King County condo foreclosures on a weekly basis.  Many of you have reached out and inquired into buying foreclosures.  Now is the perfect time as we can assist you with obtaining current info on investing and owning a foreclosure.

Feel free to inquire further, but for now, please register on the home page and we will be updating everyone shortly on the details of our program.  If you have any questions, please e-mail us at info@urbanimg.com

2200 Westlake

2200 Westlake 2200 Westlake

2200 Westlake is a dynamic project consisting of three buildings in the South Lake Union neighborhood.  The project includes residential, a hotel and some phenominal retail.

The three buildings designed by firm Collins Woerman used an abundance of floor-to-ceiling glass, architectural concrete, and brick & steel. The highly used Weber + Thompson designed floor plans and the interior decor.

The buildings have been named Aria, Azur and Arte.

Aria is an 18-story tower including the Pan Pacific Hotel. 33 condominiums are located within this building.  It is also the building that sits directly above the Whole Foods, Seastar and Tutta Bella.

Azur is a 12-story tower with 102 homes,

Arte is a 15-story tower with 126 units.

Floor plans include town homes, studios, lofts, one bedrooms, one bedroom +dens, two bedrooms & two bedroom plus dens. Homes range in size from 500 sf to 2,000 sf. The project used top materials and appliances.  Ceilings range from 9-10 ft tall with the exception of town homes where they soar to 18 feet. The condominiums have air conditioning, central heating, and the luxury kitchens and well thought interior decor.  The units originally ranged in price from $300K to over $2 MM.

With such anticipation 2200 Westlake attracted a number of investors.  Many of whom drove prices down by discounting their units to get the units off their books. The project was originally a joint venture between Vulcan Inc., owned by Paul Allen and Milliken Development Group.  I don’t remember all the details, but Vulcan eventually bought out Milliken; increasing ownership in the Westlake project.

Vulcan has made an unbelievable investment in Seattle real estate.  South Lake Union is a maturing neighborhood that has greatly benefited by the addition of Vulcan’s residential and office ventures. Enso, Rollin Street (now apartments) and Veer Lofts, have re-thought the living standard in this area of Seattle.

Exterior2 300x225 2200 Westlake interior1 300x225 2200 Westlake workout facility 300x225 2200 Westlake Needle.view  300x225 2200 Westlake

Jeff Active Listings 2200 Westlake Jeff Sold Listings 2200 Westlake Schedule a Tour 2200 Westlake

UCS EXCLUSIVE WEBSITE
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www.condosat2200westlake.com

UCS PROJECT GRADE
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Address: 2200 Westlake Ave

Seattle Year Built: 2006

Bedrooms: studios, 1, 1.5, 2, 2.5

Bathrooms:  1–2

Total Units:  261

Amenities: Professional landscaping, retail, homeowners lounge, exercise facility, elevator,
storage spaces, secure building and parking

My Grade:

Location: B+

Amenities: A

Price: B

Luxury: B+

Walk-ability: A  Google Walkscore

Unit Decor: A

WALKSCORE
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Ruby and Marselle Update

Ruby.Marselle.Update 300x266 Ruby and Marselle Update

Just a quick sales update for Ruby and Marselle:

Ruby only has 16 units remaining, citing 2 more sales over the weekend.   All remaining units are priced below $300,000.   I would recommend for anyone interested to consider the remaining top floor units.

Marselle has had 16 sales in the last 28 days including three that occurred over the weekend.   Marselle has the following amenities:

  • Community Recreation Area with Lounge and Game Room
  • Fitness Center with State-of-the-Art Precor Equipment Rooftop Garden with Pet Friendly Area
  • Controlled-Access Parking
  • Yoga Studio
  • Billiards Room
  • Skyline Views
  • Private Storage

For any questions, feel free to e-mail me at info@urbanimg.com

Kirkland Central Condos

main.photo  300x225 Kirkland Central Condos

Kirkland Central Condominiums built in 2006 is located in the heart of downtown Kirkland.  With 110 units and 5 stories, Kirkland Central is within walking distance of Lake Washington, Kirkland shops, fabulous restaurants, art galleries, Peter Kirk Park, the Kirkland Library, the Kirkland Performing Arts Center and the newly established Heathman Hotel.

The units have granite counter tops & backsplash, nice cabinets and great views from most units. Building has a nice exercise room, outside courtyard, security and underground parking.  The project includes retail on the ground floor including Chase Bank, Shnoo Yogurt, French Bakery and Yoga at Studio BE.

Amenities include:  A grand lobby, cable TV, disabled access, elevator, fitness center, fire sprinklers, lobby entrance, outside entry and a security gate.

Community Shot 150x150 Kirkland Central CondosKirkland central 8 150x150 Kirkland Central Condosmain.photo  150x150 Kirkland Central CondosRestaurants 150x150 Kirkland Central Condos

Address: 211 Kirkland Avenue, Kirkland
Year Built: 2006
Bedrooms: 1 and 2
Bathrooms: 1–2
Total Units: 110
Amenities: Professional landscaping, Elevator, Storage spaces, security gate, underground parking and fitness center
My Grade:
Location: B+
Amenities: B-
Price: B
Luxury: B-
Walk-ability: A  Google Walkscore
Unit Decor: B

The Eastlake

Eastlake.Condos The Eastlake

The Eastlake condos can be found on the north-end of Eastlake Avenue right before you reach the University Bridge.  Built in 2004, The Eastlake was welcomed with high anticipation.  Then, in 2004, there had not been much condominium inventory.  The project delivered 36 units and 4 stories. Even with its limitations, the Eastlake has pretty outstanding views from all areas of the building.

If you find yourself interested in the project, be forewarned that noise can be an issue.  The project was built under a stretch of I-5′s express lanes.  For years the city of Seattle has discussed a noise reduction plan for the under-carrage of the freeway, but nothing has occurred thus far.  For more information, you could always inquire at the City of Seattle.  Melissa McMurray at Ruby Condominiums has provided information on the proposed plans as well.

Overall, the project has a good location, nice build-out and less than average amenities.  It was built just 6 years ago and I believe The Eastlake will remain a good project with an affordable price.

Address: 3217 Eastlake Ave E, Seattle
Year Built: 2004
Bedrooms: 1 and 2
Bathrooms: 1–2
Total Units: 36
Amenities: Professional landscaping, Elevator, Storage spaces, secure parking and parking
My Grade:
Location: B
Amenities: C-
Price: B
Luxury: C
Walk-ability: A  Google Walkscore
Unit Decor: B